Predictions for Golden Globe Nominations: Assessing Chances for Canadian Contenders

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On January 10, 2023, in Beverly Hills, California, the entertainment industry marks the 80th anniversary of the Golden Globe Awards. Organized by the Hollywood Foreign Press Association, these prestigious awards are awarded each year to honor outstanding work in film and television. This year's list of prominent nominees features four Canadians, including three from Ontario and Seth Rogen from Vancouver.

Canada has enjoyed notable success at the Golden Globes over the years. Iconic figures from the country like Jim Carrey, Sandra Oh, and Ryan Gosling have taken home awards. Additionally, the popular sitcom Schitt’s Creek won twice from five nominations in 2021, reflecting Canada's impressive cultural contributions.

Do you know which Canadian holds the record for the most Golden Globe victories? It’s Michael J. Fox, who has earned four awards, matching the tally of both Al Pacino and Kate Winslet.

Which Canadian nominee stands the best chance of achieving a win this year? And importantly, is it possible to place bets on their outcomes?

Sadly,Ontario sportsbooks Currently, there are no betting odds provided for the 80th Golden Globes.

However, I've created some speculative odds for our four Canadian nominees, outlining their chances of winning in their categories.

You can find these odds and a detailed analysis below, and be sure to check in withOntarioBet.com for insights and reviews aboutOntario sports betting apps for events that do have odds.

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Speculative Betting Odds for Canadian Golden Globe Nominees

Nominee Odds Implied Probability
James Cameron (Best Director) 3-1 25%
Sarah Polley (Best Screenplay – Motion Picture) 4-1 20%
Martin Short (Best Actor in a TV Series – Musical or Comedy) 6-1 14.3%
Seth Rogen (Best Supporting Actor – TV Movie/Limited) 9-1 10%

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James Cameron (Best Director): 3-1

James Cameron faces tough competition as he goes up against Steven Spielberg, who holds the record for the most Golden Globe nominations ever with fourteen. On the bright side, both directors have won two awards each. Notably, they have previously competed against each other at the 55th Golden Globes, where Cameron won Best Director for Titanic.

Now, Cameron returns with the highly anticipated follow-up to Avatar, which secured three Golden Globes (including Best Director) in 2010. If early reviews are accurate, Avatar: The Way of Water repeats its predecessor's groundbreaking achievements. Could the renowned filmmaker from Kapuskasing, Ontario, pull off another win? If he does, he may have a real chance at surpassing Spielberg’s nostalgic tribute to filmmaking, The Fabelmans.

Sarah Polley (Best Screenplay – Motion Picture): 4-1

On the day of nominations, there was considerable discussion surrounding the perceived oversight of Sarah Polley for not receiving a nomination in the Best Director category for her film Women Talking. Can we expect voters to make amends and give her recognition in the screenplay category instead?

With both The Facing off against works like Banshees of Inisherin and Everything Everywhere All at Once, if Polley were to clinch a win, it would certainly be regarded as an unexpected upset. I’m keeping these odds on the slimmer side because it's a fiercely competitive category, and there's potential for the votes to be distributed among several nominees, with the highly regarded Polley coming out on top.

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Martin Short (Best Actor in a TV Series – Musical or Comedy): 6-1

For the second consecutive year, Martin Short finds himself nominated in this category, once again alongside his Only Murders in the Building co-star Steve Martin. Neither actor took home a win last year, and much like persistently high inflation rates, I have a gut feeling that this pattern may continue into 2023.

The current odds indicate that Short has just under a 15% chance of winning. Since he will be competing for votes with Martin, I view these odds as quite plausible.

Seth Rogen (Best Supporting Actor – TV Movie/Limited): 9-1

Recognized for his performance in Hulu’s Pam & Tommy, which dramatizes the notorious Pamela Anderson/Tommy Lee sex tape scandal, Rogen portrays Rand Gauthier, a construction worker who comes into possession of the infamous 1990s VHS tape while working at the Anderson-Lee household.

This year introduces a slightly altered category, as supporting roles in TV movies and limited series were previously grouped with traditional television series. Nonetheless, recent winners from this combined category indicate that performers in critically praised shows and specials often find success here.

These odds suggest Rogen has a 10% chance of bringing home an award to Canada. Given the lukewarm critical reception of Pam & Tommy, I believe these odds could entice bettors interested in supporting a popular figure at higher stakes.

Should entertainment props become available in the future,Ontario betting sites would provide them, and you can always reach out to us for additional information.

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Author

Jeff Parker
Jeff Parker
Contributing Writer

Jeff Parker is a writer for deereplanet.com, covering both entertainment and sports. A lifelong cinema enthusiast, he holds a Master's Degree in Popular Culture, and currently resides in Nova Scotia.

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