The playoff series between the Toronto Maple Leafs and Tampa Bay Lightning has been a thrilling exchange of wins, currently tied as it returns to Toronto for a crucial Game 7 this Saturday night.
Tampa Bay has shown a pattern of responding to playoff defeats with victories, as evidenced by Brayden Point's game-winning goal in overtime during Game 6 on Thursday. As the series approaches its finale, Toronto holds a slight edge as the home favorite, typically listed at -125 across various sportsbooks.Ontario sports betting You can find odds on Toronto to win by covering a spread of -1.5 at +175 or to clinch victory in regulation time at +125 at DraftKings Sportsbook Ontario. The total points over/under line is set at 6.5, with the under hitting in Game 1 as Toronto dominated 5-0; however, the over has been the result in every game since due to the vulnerable play of goaltenders Andrei Vasilevskiy and Jack Campbell amidst high-scoring action from both teams' star-studded offenses.
The Leafs can be bet on themoneyline The Maple Leafs are striving to become the first Canadian franchise to capture the Stanley Cup since 1993, and they currently boast some of the strongest odds among Canadian teams alongside the Calgary Flames.
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Lightning-Leafs Series Schedule
- Game 1, May 2 in Toronto: Leafs 5, Lightning 0
- Game 2, May 4 in Toronto: Lightning 5, Leafs 3
- Game 3, May 6 in Tampa: Leafs 5, Lightning 2
- Game 4, May 8 in Tampa: Lightning 7, Leafs 3
- Game 5, May 10 in Toronto: Leafs 4, Lightning 3
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- Game 7: Saturday, 7 p.m. in Toronto.
Top Line Excelling for Leafs
Now playing at home with the advantage of last change, Coach Sheldon Keefe will aim to set up Matthews and Marner for more favorable matchups, as was successfully implemented in their Game 5 victory where they achieved an outstanding 87% expected goal share.
With Tampa Bay deploying three robust scoring lines, the Leafs must keep pace. They will rely on captain John Tavares and William Nylander from the second line to step up their offensive output. After a slow start, both players have found their rhythm in recent games. Additionally, Morgan Rielly has been contributing offensively from the blue line, and he must continue this trend while working to contain Tampa Bay's attacking plays.
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Spotlight on the Goaltenders
Even in his victories, reigning Conn Smythe Trophy winner Vasilevskiy has seemed less than stellar, but he remains the most accomplished goaltender in crucial playoff moments. He has previously showcased his ability to shut out opponents during elimination games, including a critical 1-0 win to secure last year's Stanley Cup.
Should the Vasilevskiy of last season appear, Toronto may face a significantly tougher challenge; however, his recent performances indicate that such an outcome is uncertain. Campbell will undoubtedly aim for a repeat of his outstanding shutout in Game 1; if he can keep Tampa Bay's score under three goals, he should be positioned for a win.
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Updated Stanley Cup Odds
Who You Should Bet
Toronto has historically struggled to advance past the first round, not achieving this feat since 2004 and experiencing a painful first-round exit last year after leading the series against Montreal 3-1. However, the Leafs have generally outperformed Tampa Bay throughout the series and have distinguished themselves as the superior team in the regular season.
Currently, with odds at -125 for a win, betting on Toronto to clinch Game 7 appears to be a promising option.
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